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How to win betting pro football
Автор: Samugar | Category: Xmr cryptocurrency calculator | Октябрь 2, 2012Even though one team may appear superior on paper, divisional matchups are often much closer than anticipated. This makes the great choices to bet on the NFL point spread , but they can be risky choices on the moneyline. We strongly recommend limiting parlays and teasers to events when betting on the NFL. You also need to be careful when constructing parlays and teasers. We strongly recommend limiting parlays and teasers to events.
Monitor the Lines Throughout the Week Monitoring the betting lines throughout the week is a big part of maximizing your chances. Prop bets come in many different forms. Some of them are player-based — how many yards or touchdowns a specific player scores. Some of them are based in live betting, i. In order for Patrizio to win the bet, the Eagles must win their game against Dallas and Tiffany and Pat score 5 out of 10 in their dance competition. In order for the bettor to win the wager, all outcomes must unfold accordingly.
This might involve a handful of other bets such as a totals bet and a moneyline bet. In the NFL, this is a common form of betting to get more bang for your buck. When your teaser includes a point spread, you have the option to decrease the spread for the favorite or increase the spread for the underdog. Like a parlay, winning the bet is dependent on all of the wagers winning.
Standard teasers are 6, 6. So what are the most important stats for successfully determining winners in an NFL game? Well, it might not be what you think. According to a prominent Vegas oddsmaker, one of the most integral statistics for betting the NFL is… duh duh duh dahhh… pass yards per attempt.
Teams that are successful and efficient in their passing game tend to carry the edge over their less successful opponents. Taking this little known or acknowledged stat into account in your handicapping will no doubt help you find success in your waging.
The other big stat to consider in placing your bets is turnovers. Seems pretty simple. The team who averages more turnovers per game is likely to give up more scoring opportunities and thus the whole game. So it goes without saying that our model analyzes far more than just turnovers and passing yards per attempt.
Nonetheless, betting in any case involves a level of intuition. Therefore, even if you subscribe to the Simulator, it would behoove you to do your own research. Check out important stats. Take your time with each pick.
Choose wisely based on time-tested methods and patterns. Factors for NFL picks? For instance, what is the most pivotal quality of any team in the NFL? Teams with good quarterbacks flounder all the time in the NFL. If an O-Line is good, the quarterback and running back will look good too. Sure, they failed to win a Super Bowl with a rookie quarterback and running back. But the majority of their success last season was owed directly to the strength of their offensive line.
And you better bet your bottom dollar that an NFL team with a solid O-Line is far more likely to go the distance than a team with big holes and weaknesses in their front five. That means knowing what your bankroll is for a given season and being disciplined with your money.
No sportsbook is exactly the same as another. Lines, differentials, totals, spreads will all look different depending on where you look. In the NFL, you might not think that. So shop the numbers. Shopping the numbers will give you a better idea of potential outcomes and allow you to make a well-rounded decision on your bets.
What else?


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Everything is done for you. They even offer a free trial so you can test the platform out for yourself. Why not get started with a free trial today? So what specifically should you record? Here are some things to consider: What bets you win and lose The amount you stake on your bets The overall profit or loss from each bet The bookmaker you use for each bet You get the idea… Basically, anything that you think is important for analysing your bets.
Using this method you get a clearer picture as to whether your current football betting strategy is working for you. Meet your football betting target Have you set a football betting target that you want to achieve? Keeping track of your overall profit will help you easily work out how close you are to meeting your target. Whatever it is, keeping a record of your betting activity will allow you to highlight and improve your overall betting strategy with the aim of winning more football bets.
How to record your football betting data I recommend you use a simple Google Sheets or Excel spreadsheet to record your bets. One option is Smart Bet Tracker. You may have more than 50 accounts open in the future! Whilst this is great for accessing the best odds and gaining as much value as possible, it can be challenging in terms of remembering account information. Save it to your mobile device so you can always access it and lock it with a password. You can focus on what really matters, placing winning football bets.
Check out this article for more information on account security and the best methods to remember your passwords. Tip 4 — Change bookmakers Our fourth football betting tip is to change between different bookmakers often. There are so many sites you can choose from when it comes to football bookmakers. In fact, there are currently over online betting websites.
For more tips and tricks to beat the bookmakers, check out www. Bookmaker odds Bookmakers sometimes offer different odds in the run-up to or during a football game. Price boost example In the price boost below, Skybet is boosting the odds on Arsenal, Everton and West Ham all to win from 3. The boosted odds are certainly higher than other bookmakers would be offering meaning more value for the punter. A little effort in this regard can go a long way to increase your profit.
You can search for the best market odds by manually checking your favourite bookies or you can use an odds comparison website like OddsChecker. This tool is very easy to use and will speed up the process of line shopping no end. Consider using betting exchanges Whilst traditional bookmakers are a great place to start, you may want to consider using betting exchanges later on in your football betting strategy.
As I mentioned earlier, odds can vary quite a lot between different betting websites. They offer punters a different kind of betting model compared to more traditional bookmakers meaning they generally offer odds closer to the true market value. You will never learn how to win at football betting if you do not conduct the necessary research as this is vital to success.
The following points are all linked to research and the things you can do to help you win at football betting, starting with the team news. Team News The team news can make all the difference when trying to win at football betting. Unless you are going to be away from a computer or mobile device for some time, there is no need to place a bet on a football match until you hear the team news.
In most cases, this comes up an hour before kick-off. Immediately you will wish you had not placed the bet and will probably think you should have considered backing the home team instead. If only you had waited until the team news announcement, it would have made all the difference.
Having placed your bet before the team news, you are now left frustrated knowing your chances of winning have been severely reduced. Always wait for the team news before placing a bet on a football match. Recent Form Another thing which can help you win more at football betting is studying recent form of the teams involved. One glance at the league table could see the home team down in 14th place and the away team in 5th place.
Looking at this alone, it is easy to see why the home team are the outsiders in terms of the odds. However, one glance at the form table shows the 14th place team have won three of their last four matches and are moving up the table. The team in 5th place have lost each of their last three and are in poor form.
Immediately the prospect of a home win seems much better than the league table suggests and you could be on to a winner, with good odds. A team may be struggling in terms of league position and their away form could be awful but when playing at home, they are a different animal and manage to pick-up good results. There were ten wins at home for the Clarets that season but only one win on the road. Competition specific form is another thing to consider if you want to win at football betting.
A team such as BATE Borisov have won the Belarussian league title for 13 seasons in succession up to and including Looking at their results, they seem a great team but would you back them to defeat Tottenham Hotspur in the Champions League? Some clubs dominate their domestic leagues but when it comes to European competition, they are found wanting. You must look at form for the specific competitions to get a better idea of what to expect.
Head-to-Head Record The head-to-head record of two teams can provide a nice insight of what to expect from a match. Take the England team as an example, they have a good head-to-head record against most teams but have really struggled against Brazil. Only four times in twenty-six attempts have England managed to beat Brazil and they have lost on eleven occasions. Based on this, when England next meet Brazil, at a World Cup for example, you would think twice about backing the English team, regardless of current form.
Motivational Levels Some teams are more motivated to win matches than other teams at different times of the season. A team in the top four of the Premier League, who have Champions League qualification wrapped up could be playing a team in the relegation zone, who are 1 point from safety.
In normal circumstances you would back the team in the top four to win the match. However, they have a Champions League semi-final coming up on Tuesday and with nothing left to play for in the league, have very little motivation to win the match. The odds will still favour the team higher up in the league but the outsiders will be the only team who really need to win the match. This could provide a great opportunity to back a team to win at big odds. Something like this will not happen very often but when it does it is the perfect opportunity to back an outsider and potentially win more money at football betting.
Do Not Bet on Your Own Team If you want to win at football betting, it is best to avoid betting on matches which involve the team you support. For example, if you are a Manchester United fan and everything points to a win for Manchester City in the derby, are you going to be able to go against your own team and bet on them to lose? Most fans would not be able to bet against their own team and will back their side whatever the statistics may suggest.
This is fine if you are betting occasionally for fun but if you want to win at football betting, all sentiment must go out of the window. The easiest way to prevent your loyalty from clouding your judgement is to avoid betting on games involving your team altogether. Make it a priority when you begin your football betting journey to ignore all matches involving your team and this will help you to focus on the facts and make a better judgement on your bets.
A 10 Euro bet on this and you could win Euro or a 50 Euro bet on this and you could win Euro. Do not get sucked in by large odds and believe you are going to win life changing amounts of money in one hit by betting on football. The fact is that it is never going to happen. Instead, you should focus on making a profit with each bet you place, regardless of how small it may be. Ultimately, a profit is a profit, however small and they all add up over time.
If you were walking down the street, would you rather pick up a 2 Euro coin or a drop a 50 Euro note on the floor, never to be seen again? The answer is obvious and the same should apply when betting on football. Do not let the big odds of an accumulator tempt you, this is the same as throwing your money away.
Use the information above to place informative football bets and you will have a much greater chance of winning, regardless of the size of the profit.
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